Guocoland: Dwarfing malton with size and landbank

Guocoland under the stable of  Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan will be able to underperform malton anytime in greater KL and beyond.

Why?

The reasons are as below:
1) new management team under Datuk Edmund Kong, a well known corporate figure.
2) 7500 acres of undeveloped land in greater KL - we are sitting at real gold mine.
3) GDV of 6 billions for 500 acres of land in the next 3 years.
4) P/BV of 0.5
5) 2018 sales of 1 billion.
6) Successful past record in Damansara city with GDV of 2.5 Billion with land of 8.5 acre.
7) Trend setter
8) Recurrent income with DC mall having occupancy rate of 80 percent.
9) Newly launch hotel - Sofitel.
10) Strong financial backing from parents - Hong Leong Bank.
11) Government encouragement of passive income from rental rebate in budget 2018.
12) Lots of land in Singapore and associate company in Singapore.


"Time and Tide wait for no man"


Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

TDM Holding: Dawn of a Civilization

I believe that this is the new begining for TDM.

WHY?

TDM owns vast plantation land in Terengganu and land in Terengganu always fetch a premium to land in Pahang or Kelantan. This make TDM to sit on a gold mine.


TDM own a slew of 4 private specialist mega hospitals in Terengganu, Kelantan, pahang and KL under the umbrella group of KMC which is prime for listing in 2018.


Adding more fire to it, TDM is own by Terengganu goverment Incorporated making it a likely candidate in the future for development of the East Coast Corridor, ECRL and most importantly Visit Malaysia 2020 will spin Terengganu as a tourist destination sperheaded by TDM as stipulated in Budget 2018.


So, the following plus factors look promising:

1) P/BV of 0.5
2) DY of nearly 4%
3) Quasi Government
4) involved in healthcare with 4 specialist hospital prime for listing
5) involved in plantation
6) involved in tourism and set for Visit Malaysia 2020
7) vast landbank
8) strong cashflow



I will give thumbs up for such feel good factors.



"Seek and you shall find"



"God Bless Malaysia!"


Yours sincerely,


Dr Lion.

The imminent war in north korea and country that benefit

The man had always fight over oil and yes this time North Korea had to be a sacrifice in the name of oil or we say world growth and peace, whereby, every decade, the weaker nation is a sacrifice for the greater cause of prosperity.

War can be in a day, a month, a year or in a decade but it's going to happen soon - I prefer to be 20 years early, then 1 day late.

It was reported that Trump orders the attack on NK yesterday but was short of democratic vote and Putin move Satan 2 to NK to fend against American invasion.

Recapping history, oil was cheaper than water in the 1960s and the Arabs and Venezuela were smart, they form OPEC cartel and start the Arab War on Israel which make oil jump to US 70 in 1970.

So, now the story is different. BRICS and Venezuela are dumping Petrodollar. So, America has no choice, but to start a war on multifront to get loyalty and preserve its economy and maintain world hegemony and loyalty to the almighty fiat USD.

War will move up the price of commodity especially gasoline and grab, as supply becomes a scarcity.

So, the benefit of the war are:
1. America, the biggest shale oil producer.
2. OPEC country
3. Malaysia
4. Rusia and Venezuela.

Biggest loser is
1. North Korea, obviously due to loss of infrastructure and civilians.
2. South Korea
3. China
4. Japan
5. Russia, because of war at their backyard
6. Syria, making it difficult for Russia to fight the war on 2 continents.
7. Venezuela, Russia, and China reduce international presence due to war in their backyard.

Hints: Malaysia stock market will drop to around 1500, but commodity counter especially palm oil and O&G counter would bode very well.

"I am a cynic hope to be proven wrong"

God bless the world and may peace prevail.

Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

KUB main beneficiary of budget 2018.

KUB is the main flagship company of UMNO.

KUB is a conglomerate consisting of fast food with A&W, construction, ICT, O&G and Plantation.

KUB use to be in the hotsoup due to high debt. But now, the debt to equity ratio is around 1, therefore it is manageable.

As an UMNO strong supporter and bellweather, KUB will get the country share of profit in 2018 budget. Couple with the sweetspot of KUB due to governent allocation in the following sector, KUB will profit with leap and bound:

1. 5 billion for acqriculture
2. Developing Perak, which is KUB hometown,,KUB previous name is Perak Traders.
3. Green Technology ICT with tax allowance.
4. Tax free crane and ship for O&G.
5. More PDI, profiting consumer company such as A&W.
6. Vast plantation land in Sabah and Kalimantan. The next 10 years hopefully will be commodity golden era.
7. KUB expertise in developing KLIA2.

So, the wind of change for fortune of KUB have come.

Want to be part of this historical moment?

KUB will hopefully catch up with his peer KFima soon.

"Put your money where your food is"

God bless!

Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Parkson the Renaissance of a Retail Superhouse

Background

Parkson need little introduction as Parkson is a big retail group in Malaysia, China and Vietnam.

Parkson current NTA is 2 40 with a current price of 0.75. This translate to P/BV of 0.3125. This is cheap by peer group comparison worldwide.

Why did I say so?

This is because Amazon the richest internet trading company had embark on vertical integration by buying over Walmart.

In the future, whoever control the distribution chain, control the world.
This is because internet is the software and supply chain is the hardware of future e-commerce respectively.

Therefore, I believe with the right leadership at the helm of Parkson. The glittering old days are back soon with suitors such as Lazada, Alibaba and Amazon.

If William Cheng decided to jump on the bandwagon of internet marketing, Parkson hopefully can reach 2x book value or even more due to accessibility in Malaysia, China and Vietnam. Leading to a giant leap forward in price like what happen to Walmart.

"If u control the toll gate, u monopolize"

Good luck! Amigo!

Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Sumatec: Kazakhstan Rahchota Oil Field

Sumatec under Halim Saad making a comeback.

Sumatec will take over all the oil field in Rahchota with 4 for 1 capital reduction. Then 15 +6 w +2b for every 2 share @20 sen.

This would balloon sumatec share to 9.5 billion and will use 800 million to buy billions of asset worth of oil in Kazakhstan.

Have sumatec really found oil only time will tell?


As an investor a 3k investment in sumatec right issue will give u 17 mother and 6 warrant. Work out to 15 sen for an oil company. Too cheap to be ignored in my humble opinion.


Good luck sumatec.


"Time is the essence of a good business"


Good luck! Amigo!


Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Media Chinese International Limited (MCIL)

Media Chinese International Limited is the most insignificant business of Sir Dato Tiong from the Rimbunan Hijau Group. Other than Jtiasa, Subur and Rsawit.


Media Chinese crown jewel is "Nanyang Siang Pau"

MCIL is currently headed by Sir Dato Tiong's youngest daughter, Ms.Tiong Choon.


Nanyang Siang Pau is the Oldest Chinese daily in Peninsula Malaysia with over 100 years history.

Media Chinese own another 3 chinese daily in Malaysia and HK too.


With current NTA of RM 0.4935 and dividend of 4 sen giving a dividend yield of 10%. Its a great return right?


However, its proposed dividend of 15 sen had been scrapped from the cancellation of sales of all its 4 chinese media to a HK listed company.

Some see as a curse, but i see as an opportunity to buy into a success company as price is now reasonable.


Lets see what Ms. Tiong Choon can do as an executive director which would inject new blood into the company and whereby many party are interested to give a big price tag for a share in the oldest chinese newspaper in Peninsular Malaysia - Nanyang Siang Pau. This would allowed them to reach more to Chinese reader and it's high time that MCIL enter Internet of Things (iot) technology and business model as they have the network and hardware in place already. The last mile connection is what they need.


Thumbs Up! for Nanyang Siang Pau!


"Time a friend for the good, foe of the mediocre!"


Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours Sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Three Little Gurus and the Company they keep.

British people always have the saying "Bird of same feather flock together" or in other words, we "build up our character on the company we keep."


So, I want to discuss three little Gurus investing because our "Gurus" are cute and adorable.

Say, we have 3 Gurus.



First Guru, Mr. Crook.

Second Guru, Mr. Average.

Third Guru, Mr. Security.



Their name, would have given them out right?

The first is a crook. The second gives u a mediocre return and the third gives u a secure return.


The following are 4 hypothetical scenarios of investing that I might want:

1) Say, I want a very high return. Which Guru should I go to? Definitely, not Mr. Average or Mr. Security. Right? I will be mad if I go to them and I expecting to get a high return.

2) Say, if I want a very secure return, which Guru should I go to? Definitely Mr. Security. Right?

3) Say, if I want a more than average return but an acceptable risk? I will go to Mr. Average then, Right?

4) Say, if I want a high return, with low risk....where do I go?..... None of them. I thought I need to see Mr. Lottery or Mr. Da Ma Cai...Ha Ha Ha.



"Fate favored those who are prepared"

Good Luck! Amigo!



Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Mesdaq Cash Life Cycle

Mesdaq Stock will go through the following life cycle with their cash:

 Cash - Receivable - Goodwill - "Write-offs" - "Capital-reduction" - "Right Issue" - "Jacking Up"


Terminology

1) Cash of company is obtained by sucking the public by listing the company in Mesdaq.

2) Receivable - cash that a debtor owes a company.

3) Goodwill - a debt or debt that is more than 6 months and is unable to pay, so a receivable become goodwill.

4) Write-offs - goodwill that is canceled.

5) Capital Reduction - a certain quantity is reduced to a very minimal amount; which is akin to haircut: 100 to 1, 50 to 1, 10 to 1, 5 to 1, 3 to 1. All shareholder lose extensively.

6) Right Issue - whereby boss will entail shareholder for more fund and reward shareholder with a sweetener like a free warrant.

7) Jacking up share - the boss will wack up share and dispose all warrant by selling warrant and buying into mother share or preserve cash for next cash call

8) Cash being suck by company director by doing research, sales and marketing or loan to directors or associates.


"Fate favors those who are prepared"


"Good Luck Amigo!"


Yours Sincerely,

Dr Lion. 

BURSA UPDATE (17/10/2017)

Pre-Deepavali mood in bursa today.

1) Titijaya Land completed the purchase of Ampang Land Development - Another applause and thumb up for titijaya.
2) AEGB obtained exemption for majority sahreholder.
3) Mpay get another license - MVNO
4) Texchem get aaquaculture license in Myanmar.
5) Penta listing their rights.
6) Bison - purchasing sister company
7) Vizione - get 400m contract and all out for affordable house
8) SP Setia - right issue and loan stock after merger with I&P
9) Harn Lern - Bank of Singapore (becoming sunstantial shareholder)
10) Azrb - 282 M LRT contract
11) Permaju - massive disposal in open market
12) Nicorp - new officer
13) IRIS - Boss resign
14) WCT - PP
15) Bintai - LRT electrical contract
16) Keyasic - PP
17) PRG - Listing in HK and boss buying
18) Affin - restructure
19) Scomi, Scomien, Somies - Merging

"Fate! Favor those who are prepared!"


Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours Sincerely,

Dr Lion.

WTK: Awakening of the Sabah Timber and both Palm Oil and Wood Plantation Merchant

WTK need few introduction.

If you talk timber in Sarawak and Sabah, you will talk bout Lingui and WTK respectively.


WTK is a large conglomerate in Sabah dealing with :

1) Timber
2) Oil Palm
3) Wood Plantation
3) Glue, Adhesive, Resin
4) Ply-wood
5) Consumer Product.


Currently, WTK is facing headwind with succession issue after the demise of its founder and WTK ownership is still under the jurisdiction of the court.


On the bright side, WTK have NTA around RM3 that have not been revalued since 1998. Do you know that land in Sabah always fetch a premium and Sabah's wood species like Merbok and Keningau fetch a premium in the Japanese Market.


Give a thumbs up to WTK, pending the overcome of glut in the timber industries and board room tussle. Give it a few years down the road, WTK will have 12,000 hectare of mature palm oil and 30,000 hectare of mature wood plantaion for harvesting.


"Survival of the most adaptable in the wood industry"


Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Theory Behind Christmas Rally and Chinese New Year Rally

The best quarter for Bursa is the 1st quarter and the worst quarter is the 2nd quarter and 3rd quarter respectively.


This gives rise to Christmas Rally due to Santa Claus is coming to town and Chinese New Year Rally due to Choi San tou.


Why is this so?


This is because of consumer buying behavior. Western Consumer will always buy at the end of the year for Christmas season and Oriental Consumer will also buy at the end of the year to usher in the new and throw away the old as "New things are auspicious for the Chinese."


Therefore, this buying momentum by the consumer will create bumpy earning in the first quarter leading to improve financial forecasting result by an analyst during Christmas and CNY leading to super year-end rally.


There will be one every year without fail but depend on how big gifts Santa or Choi San wanna lavished on the market. Therefore, the best buying time is the 3rd Quarter.


"Fate Favored Those who are prepared"


"Time to buy, Time to sell, Time to go sleep"


Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours Sincerely,

Dr Lion. 

Landmark: Bintan Lagos Resort under the Genting Umbrella Group

Landmark is closely related to two growth story: Indonesia and Genting


Indonesia need no further introduction as President Widowo is opening up Indonesia and currently incorporated new treaty will open up Indonesia as a tourist destination for those from Singapore or Australia.

Bintan Lagos Resort is a 6 star resort opening soon in the "Acheh Achepalego", a short distance by boat from Singapore.


As far as i know during the bad time, the most resistant business is the tourism sector as they are a resistant business to any eventual economic downturn.

What more Bintan Lagos Resort will be a 6 star resort and "land bought for penny" profit for this big conglomerate. The current minute loss is "development cost".



Caveat: Landmark NTA of RM 3.50 is not revalue since 2010.



Further feather to its cap is the ultimate holder is the "Genting Group" which is believed to "grow the company" rather than some scrupulous shareholder which "churn the company for personal gain"



"Welcome and diversify to Indonesia fastest growth corridor via Landmark"



"Fate favored those who are prepared"


"God bless Indonesia!"


Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

MKH: KL Kepong in the making.

The majority shareholder of MKH had always dream of owning KL Kepong since small.

Thus, his dream come to fruition now.

MKH Grand Profiles:

1) Owns vast amount of land in Kajang - which is the new "Look East Corridor" development for Greater KL.
2) High Speed Rail link is within the vicinity.
3) Class A developer and construction company in Malaysia.
4) More than 200,000 hectare of palm oil estate under development in Sumatra and Kalimantan.

Therefore, i believe MKH will catch up with KL Kepong, earning set to fly by leaps and bounds as the above 4 great happening come to fruition as well as make the majority shareholder of MKH's dream a reality.

"Those who control food, control the world"

Good Luck! Amigo!

Yours Sincerely,

Dr Lion. 

Ewein: Rebirth of Penang "Euro Tunnel"

Ewein is closely related to Zenith bug.

Zenith bug has a contract to claim the seabed near Gurney Drive and build new interlink and super-connection between Penang Island and Mainland aka "Penang Euro Tunnel".

Nevertheless, this project is uncertain at current juncture due to the coming GE 14 and succession of leadership in Penang.

So, now is the decisive moment - is this the new beginning or is this the end of Ewein?

Time, will tell. I presumed this is the beginning.

As a positive notes, Ewein current improvement in quarterly result to 1.5 sen and buy back by major shareholders are catalyst for surprise and potential game changer.

Anytime, it might start an avalanche of surprise as Ewein redefine how business are conducted due to the potential of having our own "Euro-tunnel" between Penang Island and Mainland and the spill over effect of commerce and tourism to the surrounding area.


Thumbs Up!


"God Bless U!"


Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Sunway: Renaissance of a Conglomerate

Sunway or more accurately Sunway Pyramid don't need much introduction to Malaysian.

But, i would like to share Jeffrey Cheah (owner of Sunway Pyramid) contribution to nation building in Malaysia.

He transformed and refurbished old mines into a metropolitan city in Sunway Pyramid and founded one of the best private college - Sunway University.

Not to forget about various philanthropist organization under him.

Currently, he and his daughter is at the helm of Sunway Berhad and Suncon Berhad, which followed the tradition of rewarding shareholders, either thick or thin.

Thumbs up for Sunway.


"May God Bless you with a Productive Life"

Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours Sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Bursa: Malaysia Last Resistant against Economic Collapse

If Bursa Malaysia collapse, there will be a vicious cycle whereby all business in Malaysia will collapse like dominoes. See the effect of "Great Depression 1929" in US for justice.

Our economy are so ingrain in stock that, nearly all folks of life are involved and government is our biggest banker in the stock market.

Retrospectively, without the comfort of capital, business would not have prosper and society would not have developed up to the level of ease of today and modernization as we know today would not have existed.

Imagine the day when our stock market stop exist or more accurately no more free-flow of capital for business. All commerce activity under the sun would reach a halt and failure whether financial, social or psychology would be a common word.

That's why it is justify for government to defend our stock market with the aid of central bank as stock market and commerce is the river of life.

"Stock-market is our last bastion of defend against national failure."

"May god shine on your path every moment."

Good luck! Amigo!

Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Asiabio will be known as Malaysia Fintech Berhad.

Asiabio will change to Malaysia Fintech Berhad.

Will the legacy of this company stop here?

Probably no, after charging up with 9 sen profit in one quarter what next?


PE = 16/36 = 0.44.

Earning even more than the current price.


Boss, is suppressing this share for the coming right issue.


10 LR + 1 W: 5M at 7 sen.


Asiabio's notable holding:

1) MNC
2) M3tech
3) Vsolar
4) MQtech
5) Netx
6) Xox


Soon, will be a Fintech giant.

Thumbs up for Asiabio.


"May the force be with u"

Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.

Stock Tips of the Century: Follow The Trend.

Jesse Livermore always jokes "If you want to win in the stock market always follow the trend" and "The stock market only have two trend - uptrend and downtrend."


Honestly, the stock market has three trends "uptrend, downtrend and sideways".


That's why we always hear of the epilogue - "Time to buy, Time to sell and Time to go Party."


Do you believe me there is a stock market correlation between the length of the skirt of women and the stock barometer - this would seem to be absurd, but Wall Street found out a correlation, "the shorter the trend of the woman's skirt, the higher the reading on wall street."


So, "We must always follow the trend and if a stock is on an uptrend, buy at all means and if it's on a downtrend, sell at all means."


Scenario Analysis:

A) After, knowing the bullish trend, we must go from macro investing to micro investing - select the most suitable country for investing, sector, then individual stock - in individual stock choose the leader of the stock or its twin. This is called "tandem stock investing."

B) If a trend shows a bearish signal, "run for your life.": This is akin to a train charging at full speed towards you, it would be sensible to let the train go away before you return back to your position.

C) The sideways trend really tried our patients to the maximum.



Remember the wise advice in wall-street "The trend is your best friend."


"May the god shine his blessing on your path and may the wind bring you good news."


Good Luck! Amigo!

Yours Sincerely,
Dr Lion. 

Plantation: Hedging against "Everything Collapse" environment.

Background:


Back to 1998, we have the Asian Financial Crisis, which started in Bangkok and contagion to Malaysia, Indonesia and Korea leading to "currency war" and "currency collapse." Everyone was devastated except those who buy food counters and plantation. Plantation such as Far East Holding went up from RM1 to RM 8 (pre-split and bonus issue). Currently, a single lot of Far East, bought at the height of 94 for RM 8, would worth roughly RM 20 (notwithstanding the accumulated dividend). Therefore, Plantation is always the safe bet - even at the maximum price.


That's why, Peter Lynch (Best Fund Manager Alive) always say "Put your money, where your mouth is."


The rest is classical. I still advocate investment in - Ground, Grab, Gas, Gourd, and Gold.




Current Scenario:

Will history repeat itself. I am unsure. But, I know "Food is the basic necessity for life." and "We spend most of our money on food."


List of notable plantation stocks:

1) Hup Seng plantation.
2) Kwantas
3) Kuchai
4) TDM
5) Inchkenneth
6) GL BHD
7) MKH
8) SUBUR
9) FGV
10) WTK


"Put your money, where your mouth is, is the best strategy."


Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours Sincerely,
Dr Lion.

Naim: Buy 1 Free 1 Dayang

Naim Profile:


1) A high NTA construction company of Rm 5.01.

2) P/BV is only 0.24

3) Own 1 share of Dayang for 1 Naim share: (Naim which have 280m shares own 260m share in Dayang).

4) Major Construction and O&G in Sarawak.

5) Beneficiary of East Malaysia's Express Highway

6) Beneficial of scraping of cabotage policy on shipping in East Malaysia and formation of shiping consortium.

7) Industrial product supplier.



Short term catalyst:

1) Coming Election Budget which is an expansionary budget at 27 October 2017, would eventually profit Sarawak Company...mainly Naim, KKB,....to name a few as Sarawak is BN "safe deposit".



"Time is the friends of a good company, enemy of a mediocre"


Good Luck! Amigo!



Yours Sincerly,

Dr Lion.   

MRCB: Finding Mrs RIGHT.

Actions:

MRCB is more worthwhile if i buy directly the mother share now and sell prior to listing of the new warrant.

Later, i will convert the profits into new warrants.


Congratulations to those holding MRCB-WA, the conversion price will drop to RM 1.60 and your shareholding will increase by 33.3%. Congrats! 

The setback is short conversion period, namely August 2018....but that should be mitigated by election budget aka expansionary budget for this month of October.



Reasoning:

1) The Right Issue comprise 5 mother and 1 warrant for every 5 rights.


Caveat:

1) Nevertheless, i will still be contemplating the ex-price of the new warrant, whether it is warrant-friendly or warrant-hostile.



"Warrant or derivatives is the instruments of the rich - Warren Buffet"


Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours Sincerely,

Dr Lion.

   

Forensic Reporting on Tiger Main Shareholder

Scenario Analysis:


Tiger have a share base of 2 Billion.


A) Opening Ledger Balance of  Tiger shareholder as at 31 December 2016:

1) Tan Wei Lian -                            274.1 million              (Pledge)

2) Tan Lee Chin                               41.2 million             (Pledge)

3) Tan Li Li                                      52 million                (Pledge)

4) Sek Chian Nee                             17.5 million             (Pledge)

5) Sek Chian Teng                            11.7 million             (Pledge)

Total Mr Tan and his spouse family hold 396.5 million   (Source: Tiger Annual Report 2016)



B) Closing Ledger Balance of  Tiger shareholder as at 29 September 2017:

1) Tan Wei Lian -                            298 million              (Pledge)

2) Tan Lee Chin                               41.2 million             (Pledge)

3) Tan Li Li                                      52 million                (Pledge)

4) Sek Chian Nee                             57.2 million             (Pledge)

5) Sek Chian Teng                            11.7 million             (Pledge)


Total Mr Tan and his spouse family hold 460.1 million   (Source: Bursa Announcement 29 Sept 2017)


*Caveat: This excluded a DBT of 57.2 million by Sek Chian Nee (spouse of Tan Wei Lian).


From these analysis:

1) Mr Tan and family had a pledge share of Tiger to the tune of RM 460 million currently and at current valuation of RM 0.05, it is worth RM 25 million.

2) At a revolving credit rate of 12 percent per annum, Mr Tan would have to pay interest bearing of RM 3 million per year

3) A mere 0.5 sen drop would cause him RM 2.3 million of losses and margin call.

4) This is based on direct analysis. If you added his proxies, things get worse.

5) I would give this counter a chance as long as Mr. Tan shareholding remains and this counter is out of PN 4 or PN 17.



"God's Blessing is the greatest saviour"


Good Luck! Amigo!


Yours Sincerely,

Dr Lion. 

Election: Bull Reborn in BURSA

Jesse Livermore have always claimed it best with his acronyms "the stock market always repeat itself because human behavior never change due to his emotion of fear and greed." and "the one that change is the name of the stock and the player."

Therefore, pattern of the stock is always the same and it always repeat itself in cycles.


Background:

1) Election happen every 5 years.

2) In 2013, I lost nearly everything in Perwaja (which i bought 600,000 lots at 90 sen, believing the tipster of someone, who repeated a thousand times that perwaja should worth RM 9 due to the iron mines and high speed rail link (HSL) coming soon. But, he himself, buy nothing at the exorbitant price. He buys when the price settle at 60 sen. So, i loss a fortune and recently, perwaja delisted. A sad story, that's why the acronym "trust no one" and "being responsible for one's own action, is a must in the stock market."

3) Jesse Livermore also lost a million trusting Thomas Percy the "cotton expert" of his time. This is because the expert might be right about their facts but thousands of factors make the equations for the actions of stocks and no one have the crystal ball - our guess is as good as the expert, to be honest.

4) This is my "half-million" blunder of trusting the experts - Fxxx.

5) However, still in 2012 and election approaching in 2013 and i am heavily in debt to the tune of RM 100,000 and i have asset of only Rm 150,000 left.

6) So, i did another crazy thing, i bet all, i have. I make it, "its now or never"....either "heaven or earth." After saddling myself again with debt and nothing else and i have really nothing as real assets but the duty to pay both my school fees and my car. In fact, every one deserted me included my friends and relatives except my father and mother and god.

7) So, i rollover the remaining assets i have and bet heavily on "warrant" - "engtex-wa, encorp-wa, mitra-wa" and a couple others at around 10 sen each....in total i have maybe 1 million warrant that expire in 2014 and above. So, i wait for 1 year, daily, doing nothing, just wait and live a very merge life in the university cause every penny counts when you are poor and everyone deserted you.

8) Then BN win. Thank god. Most of my warrant are 8 bagger and above. I make back 4 times all that i have lost. Thanks to my patience and my believe in the mechanism the stock market works. The truth is that playing warrant is suicidal if you dunno how. Please see mitra-wa, engtex-wa and encorp-wa as proof.

9)It might be great to hear someone make a killing in the stock market but ask him about his losses and he will be quiet. Seldom there will be great man without failure. Napolean Hill always say it best "Success make a great man, but teacher of success is failure." Nevertheless, i did have my losses, when i listen to the so call expert to the tune of half a million.


Scenario Analysis:

Election coming soon again by 2018. So, the pattern will repeat itself. The only different this time is the different type of stock and the market player. Beware, this time might not be warrant yeah!!!.

So, there are 4 possible outcome of an election.

1) BN wins - all goverment stock limit up, like in 2003, the index up nearly 100 points in a day.

2) BN lose more state seats (>5) - all government stock limit down, like in 2008, index down nearly 100 points in a day and equine drop from RM 5 to RM 0.50 in a day. But, Pakatan affiliated counter will limit up.

3) Hanging government -  All stock will drop until a Coaliation government is form and the ringgit will be depreciating a lot (This happen in New Zealand recently - a hanging government). Fortunately, we are a peaceful country and a member of United Nation (UN), so all these will be settle in a month and the stock market would rebounded, the drop would be a buying opportunities.

4) Pakatan win - Pakatan affiliated counter will limit up, BN cronies counter will limit down. United Nation (UN) will help to ensure election is fair and square and there will be a new tomorrow and hope for corporate Malaysia.


Comments:

Therefore, there will be a great bull after GE 14, but we must be able to overcome "short term pain and long term gain." with the assumptions that there is no war in the world and "hard-landing" in US.


"Fate favor those who are prepared."


Yours sincerely,

Dr Lion.
  

Tiger: Understanding the Psychology of Penny Stock.

I will discuss the psychology of penny stock taking tiger as my case study.

I will be the boss in this scenario.

What is the boss?

1) The owner of the company.
2) Lots of cash.
3) Control the resources of the company.
4) Control the manpower and management of the company.
5) Control the direction of the company
6) Control the information of the company
7) Able to manipulate the company.

But, as the boss I have only 1 objective - that is the maximization of profit.

That is why the boss will always like a company with a few scripts - easy to manipulate and profit.

That's why my first priority of buying is the number of the script in the market and the number of the script in the boss hand together with his affiliated shareholder.


Tiger case study:

Profile:

1) Tiger has around 2 billion shares. WoW! That's a lot!
2) Boss has around 95% as stated in the papers. (I don't think so).
3) Tan Wei Lian has 25% of share in Tiger from 2016 annual report and its all pledge account.
4) The benefit of the doubt: Tan's proxy amount is double, Tan Wei Lian will be holding 50% of the tiger.
5) So, in total Tan Wei Lian is supposed to have 1 billion of share in Tiger pledge to various banks which would run up to RM 50 million at the current price of Rm 0.05.
6) A mere drop of 0.05 sen would cost him RM 5 million of pledging. Not many people can survive a 5 million margin call daily. So, he had to resort to whacking up the price of Tiger at closing.
7) So, he is at the hand of those who long "Tiger" due to his pledging.

Conclusion:

If I were Tan Wei Lian, I know I am at a disadvantage. This is because I have a pledging of RM 50 million. Can I afford to do a capital reduction when I have nearly 1 Billion shares at hand? Definitely no.

As a boss, my objective is to make money. Therefore, I need to get some partners and soak up all the punters with Tigers share around by making sure that they sell when tiger "bloodbath" around....before I push it up for me to sell out and clear all my margin and pledging.

That's why anyone with a bigger debt and pledging is more anxious and affected by the price change than someone who knows the mechanics of the stock market and lowers in debt.

If me, I will give Tiger a chance and look out for Mr. Tan Wei Lian action for confirmation because the number of scripts is always the same, it's only a matter of transfer to weak or strong hands.

Good Luck! Amigo!

Yours Sincerely,
Dr. Lion.
 

MTOUCHE: Phoenix from the Ashes

Mtouche Right Issue go ex today.

2 Mother and 1 Warrant for every 2 Right at 20 sen per right.

Hopefully, regional expansion to Thailand can bring this phoenix out from the ashes again.

Mtouche is owned by OSKVI and eventual owner is OSK group.

Hope for the best - $$$.

Its now or never.

Good Luck! Amigo!

Yours Sincerely
Dr Lion.

Position Sizing: Diffrientiate the Great and Legendary Stock Player

Warren Buffet and Jesse Livermore had said more than a dozen times in their memoirs that position sizing is what that differentiate them from the rest. Even, the legendary speculator George Soros also claimed that


War:
A great general always knows that espionage is essential in warfare - whether spy, swallow or even drone. Currently, it is cyber warfare. "Direct war without knowing your terrain is suicidal" - Sun Tzu Art of War. That's important of scout in Position Sizing. 


Early 19 Century scenario (Jesse Livermore):
The stock market was blooming and Jesse recalls an incident whereby someone gave JP Morgan tips that General Motors is going up. Do you know what JP Morgan do after the tips, he sells down 20K share of General Motors, 3 times consecutively and General Motors still being able to absorb well the selling pressure. The tipsters were blunted and walk away but JP Morgan said that he will give him a profit of 5K share and later Morgan covered his 60K short and bought 300K share of General Motors. Jesse comes to the conclusions that man of greatness does not trust whatever anyone says unless proven by his own conviction.



Asian Financial Crisis (George Soros):
During the Asian Financial Crisis, George Soros tested his "scout" on the vulnerability of the Asian economy in Bangkok several times and he found out that there was a limited buyer. So, he asked his lieutenant to "go for the jugular" or in other words "go for the killing." But, he tested his "scout" in China and Brazil and they failed badly. So, he stopped. That's why he still a billionaire today (even though he started off with welfare fund during university days) and Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) with 2 Nobel Laurette and Trillions of dollar failed all due to position sizing.




Current Scenario (Warren Buffet):
Do you know that Warren Buffet owns every counter in Dow Jones and Nasdaq, but albeit in small size? Why? Because he liked to used position sizing to his advantage. Warren Buffet would always send "scout" for his stocks and if his scout dies, he just forgets about it. He concluded that it is not worthwhile to invest in such a company after all. If his scout succeeded and he likes it, he would pay more of it and wack to his heart desire, this happens to Coca-Cola in the '90s.


Comments:
It's better to have a very small position in everything and when you are very very sure "go for the jugular." as "the money sitting idle will be ready to accomplished something great when the time has come."

"There is time to buy, time to sell, time to go on holiday." - Jesse Livermore.

Good Luck! Amigo!

Yours Sincerely,
Dr. Lion. 

Bursa Report for 3 October 2017

Report for 3 October 2017.

Bursa stage rebound after 10 days of consecutive losses.

International news:
1) Crude oil dropping
2) Las Vegas shooting
3) US Stock may show over-bought signal.
4) 1 Trillion will enter emerging market soon

Company in the news
1) Efficen - enter manged security business - $$$$$
2) Menang - circular for bonus issue extended to 15 Nov - ???
3) Mahsing - EPF disposed - ???
4) Sign - Acquisition of furniture company completed - $$$
5) Mlab - Formation of Gold Dragon Media - $$$
6) Eforce - Mr. Wong bought 2K share - buying point - ?
7) LFECorp - Private Placement - Short term pain, long term gain
8) Nicorp - Dato Siaw, disposed all share - Neutral
9) Vizione - Private Placement Rm 0.123 today completed - $$$$$
10) Ewein - Director buy - $$$.
11) WCT - ASB sell - ??? (election coming?)
12) Mexter - PP - short term pain, long term gain. - $
13) Titijaya PR - listed tomorrow and 1 for 1 share split soon. - $$$$$
14) Brem - ride on Titijaya (majority owner of Titijaya) - $

Comments:
1) Our stock market will be expected to be very boom-boom if election and economic head-wind is take out of the picture. Do see Titijaya-PR tomorrow.

Malaysian Stock is Forever Bullish

Do you know that we are not allowed to bet on the bearish side on Malaysian stock?

So, everyone is expected to be bullish on Malaysian stock.

As long as we stay long enough and the price we buy are at the lower end of standard deviation gyration of Malaysian stock we will end up okay.

This is especially true of government stock, as they will be billed out like in the past - Renong as an example.

1) Moreover, most government funds are heavily invested in the stock and they are our banker - KWSP, KWAP, Khazanah, Danaharta, PNB, Amanah, FELDA, FELCRA, MARA, MoF, Tabung Haji, and Tabung Angkatan Tentera.

2) Then we have the 14 state funds.

3) Then we have the government trust fund and government-private retirement fund.

4) Then we have the banks and investment banks and investment brokers

5) Then we have the trust funds investing for the public

6) Then we have the boss of the company

7) Then we have syndicates for stocks.

8) Then we have channels' owners who are trying to unload their stocks to their followers.

As shorting is illegal, so the only way for them to make money is only to be bullish in a bull market and all these institutions need money to fund their operations monthly.

So, we should be buying good stocks at a cheap price and let them push the stocks for us when they need to be bullish in order to make money to fund their operations.

That's why "it's the sitting at the right price that makes the money in Malaysia"

That's why Malaysia is heaven, as the government is our banker to make sure that "you can only make money by being bullish and being bearish is illegal".

"Long Live Malaysia!"

Good Luck! Amigo!

Yours sincerely,

Dr. Lion.

A Million Dollar Tips on Margin Call: Don't ever answer a margin call (Perrsonal Experience)

Honestly, I myself have suffered a margin call before and have nearly gone bankrupt 2 times in my life.

One of it happen in 2004 and the other happens in 2008.

In 2004, I played only 2 stocks, Pantai-wa and Pilecon-wa and I just graduated from University. I have 600 lots of Pilecon-wa at 10 sen and 30 lot of Pantai-wa at 30 sen, with a margin of Rm 30,000. One fine day, Pilecon was suspended. So, i was basically insolvent. What can I do? I can only wait. Right?  I prayed and wait for the next bull and at the same time, I roll over any expiring warrant. Thank god, Pantai-wa go up with the merging with Park May or else, I am insolvent. It went up to Rm 1.

In 2008, I was a little bit better in shape, I racked up to RM 140,000 with RM 100,000 margin. Alas, the sub-prime crisis set in. What I make in 10 years, I lose it all in 1 month - September 2009. I tot that BCTech (Semiconductor stock that drops from Rm 1.40 to 10 sen should be safe) and APLI (A take over the target by Stanley Thai should be safe with bird-flu around and he promised a giant leap forward with a panther logo and right issues with free warrants that had been pre-approved by shareholders). Altogether, I got more than half a million in each counter respectively and very highly in debt. Within a month, all come to ashes, APLI delisted and BCTech delisted as well in a short while. So, I was really shattered. I have no way to run and contemplated the inevitable. My only solace is only god and I don't have the luxury to answer any margin call, after the end of the onslaught in December 2009, I am left with RM 40,000, slightly more than the amount I have in 2003 when I just graduate of RM 32,000.

Nevertheless, I know that is due to my lacking knowledge of how the stock market works that cause me to lose.  I start to read thousands of books and think and experiments.

"The stock market is the cruelest and meanest game ever created by human" claimed by Jesse Livermore.

So, I make it a priority to be a "student of learning" in the stock market my priority. During those bleak moments, I cried to sleep each night. I believe that in order for me to be good in stock, I must sleep with the stock each night. Likewise, the best chicken breeder knows that he must sleep with the chicken.

But, I make back multitude that amount, when I catch the bull at the horn as bullishness resume.

So, it is okay to lose in a bear. Everyone loses. Pray that a new bull come or what we say a "silver lightning will always come after every thunderstorm" and you will make back 5 to 10 times your initial money due to the multiplier effect of catching the bull at the horn, but you must make sure that you must be willing to learn and improve yourself .

"You cannot break good principles, but you can break yourself going against the good principle." - Jesse Livermore sums it best.

Comments:

A Jewish book on stock-pick in the 1800s always say "Never answer a margin-call, admit your mistakes and close it."

Good Luck! Amigo!

Yours Sincerely,
Dr Lion.     

CLOUD: A Champion in CLOUD COMPUTING FOR BANKING.

Claudron Berhad.



This is the first company for LEAP.

They involved in CLOUD computing for banking and Security.

Notable Customer involved are: Singapore Monetary Authority, RHB, Bank of Singapore

Competitor: Microlink, Omesti

Weakness: NTA only 4 sen

Comments: A good business model with strong bank based clients in Singapore and Malaysia.

Congatulations for those with Titijaya PR

Congratulations for those who subscribe for Titijaya PR.

Those with Titijaya PR will get split 1 titijaya PR into 2 and the conversion price reduce from Rm 1.48 to Rm 0.74.

A great congratulations and hopefully Titijaya will fly.

The majority owner of Titijaya is Brem, thats the reason why Brem up this few days.

Long live Titijaya! Long Live Brem!

"Fate favor those who are prepared!"

Good Luck!

Yours sincerely!

Dr Lion.

EAH: 2 Prong Strategies

EAH OR just come out. There are 2 opportunities.

Short term opportunities: Buy EAH mother share and sell before the new share listed.

Long term opportunities: Buy the OR and wait for the boss to "Speculate"


"Buy with the strong hand is always safe."

Regards

Dr Lion.

Welcome to Bursa Stock Rumors

Welcome, I will help you to the best of my ability because you matter to me. I will update my comments on the bursa periodically and if you have anything that you wanna discuss just leave me a comment below. I will discuss the best of my ability.

Welcome aboard!.

Thank you.

Have a nice and productive day ahead!

Regards

Dr. Lion